América SP vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
UNI
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SER
3 - 3
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
AME
2 - 0
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAT
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
3 - 1
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
3 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |