América SP vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
SJS
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SEP
1 - 1
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
RIO
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 1
BAR
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |