América SP vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
0 - 1
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
2 - 1
AME
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
AUD
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATL
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |