América SE vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FFC
4 - 1
AME
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
CON
5 - 0
AME
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
BOC
49%
22%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
FFC
66%
19%
16%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 0
AFP
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ATG
1 - 2
LAG
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
5 - 0
LAG
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
LAG
1 - 0
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |