América SE vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 0
AME
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AME
0 - 3
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
AME
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
FFC
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
CON
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
ITA
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
SER
2 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |