Sergipano Ronda descenso Final
Global 3-2
América SE vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
AME
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
DOR
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
AME
27%
22%
52%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ATG
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
AME
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
AME
25%
22%
54%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 0
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
AME
27%
22%
52%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FFC
4 - 1
EST
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |