América SE vs Atlético Gloriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
AME
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
ITA
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 0
AME
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
SER
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ATG
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 1
FFC
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 2
ATG
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
ATG
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |