América RN vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
ARN
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
ARN
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 3
ARN
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
CON
88%
9%
3%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
5 - 1
SER
89%
9%
2%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 2
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
VIT
7%
17%
76%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 3
ARN
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |