América RN vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 1
ARN
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 3
POR
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ARN
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 0
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 2
PPE
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 1
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
IFC
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |