América RN vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ARN
4 - 0
POR
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 1
ARN
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 1
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAH
3 - 3
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
PPE
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 3
VIL
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
FFL
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
7%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 2
BRA
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |