América RN vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ARN
2 - 5
ABC
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ARN
3 - 1
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 4
ARN
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
FLU
0 - 1
ARN
69%
18%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 4
VAS
48%
22%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
VAS
1 - 2
GAM
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
44%
23%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
VAS
0 - 0
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |