América RN vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 2
ARN
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ARN
1 - 1
CRB
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
FEL
1 - 4
ARN
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 3
ARN
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
ARN
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BRU
2 - 1
SPO
13%
20%
68%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SED
0 - 0
SPO
3%
8%
89%
|
74 | 34 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 2
IMP
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
RFC
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |