América RN vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
POT
0 - 3
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
4 - 0
FEL
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 1
ARN
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 0
ABC
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 3
ARN
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 0
AUT
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 1
BOT
21%
27%
52%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
SOU
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |