América RN vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
FLA
3 - 1
ARN
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
ARN
2 - 1
ATP
21%
24%
56%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
ATM
4 - 1
ARN
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 2
SCI
20%
25%
56%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 1
SPO
72%
19%
10%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
CRZ
1 - 2
SAO
37%
26%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 1
FLU
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLA
66%
21%
14%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |