América RN vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
5 - 0
ARN
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
COT
5 - 1
ARN
74%
19%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 1
PPE
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 1
CRB
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 0
ARN
73%
19%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
FFL
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
COT
3 - 2
SAN
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |