América RN vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 2
ARN
60%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
POT
0 - 1
ARN
13%
23%
64%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
2 - 0
FEL
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
2 - 1
SDJ
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
LAG
65%
18%
17%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
GLO
2 - 0
SAN
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
5 - 1
FEL
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ABC
3 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
6%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 2
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |