América RN vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
POT
0 - 2
ARN
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 0
ARN
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
ARN
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
39%
25%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 2
ARN
12%
19%
69%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
5%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
ARN
12%
22%
66%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
GLO
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
POT
3 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
ARN
13%
22%
66%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |