América RN vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 0
VIT
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ARN
4 - 1
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARN
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
ARN
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
AUD
1 - 0
ARN
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
POT
2 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ABC
4 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |