América RN vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
ARN
13%
21%
66%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARN
3 - 0
FEL
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 3
VIT
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ARN
5 - 0
PAL
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
17%
26%
57%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALE
35%
27%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 2
SAN
41%
25%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GLO
3 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |