América RN vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 0
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
ARN
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
ARN
12%
21%
67%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |