América RN vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
2 - 1
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 0
JEC
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
FLA
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 0
ARN
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 0
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 1
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 2
VAS
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
ABC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |