América RN vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 1
ARN
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 1
ARN
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
FOR
0 - 2
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
ARN
2 - 0
CEA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
GUA
1 - 0
ARN
78%
14%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
CEA
3 - 0
RIV
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 1
FOR
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
RIV
4 - 3
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
RIV
0 - 0
SAM
47%
25%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |