Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Final
Global 2-1
América RN vs Pouso Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
ARN
48%
29%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAO
32%
30%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 1
CAX
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 0
ARN
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 1
ARN
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
POA
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POA
1 - 0
AFC
58%
25%
18%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
POA
1 - 0
ASA
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 2
POA
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
POA
1 - 0
PAR
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |