América RN vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 4
ARN
12%
22%
66%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAU
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
ARN
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 0
ABC
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
POT
2 - 0
ACD
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
POT
1 - 0
GLO
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
POT
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
1 - 0
POT
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 1
POT
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |