América RN vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ARN
4 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
POT
0 - 2
ARN
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 0
ARN
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
ARN
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
39%
25%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
POT
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
POT
0 - 2
ARN
12%
22%
66%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
POT
2 - 1
ABC
7%
16%
78%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
POT
25%
22%
52%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
POT
3 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |