América RN vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FEL
0 - 0
ARN
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 2
ARN
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 0
GLO
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 0
ASS
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
POT
1 - 2
ACD
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
POT
0 - 2
FEL
47%
26%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
ABC
3 - 0
POT
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
POT
0 - 0
GLO
24%
25%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
POT
3 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |