América RN vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 1
CRZ
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 1
ARN
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GLO
0 - 0
ARN
33%
25%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
DOM
0 - 2
ARN
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 4
POT
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
POT
2 - 1
FEL
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
POT
3 - 1
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
POT
0 - 1
GLO
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ASS
4 - 0
POT
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |