América RN vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ARN
3 - 3
CRB
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ASA
0 - 2
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARN
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 2
ARN
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 0
ARN
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 0
CRB
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
PRU
1 - 0
PAR
13%
19%
68%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |