América RN vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
ARN
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 1
ARN
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 2
AMF
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
ARN
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 3
ARN
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
OES
2 - 4
ATL
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
OES
2 - 2
FFL
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 1
OES
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
PAY
3 - 3
OES
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
OES
2 - 0
BRA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |