América RN vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
ARN
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 0
ABC
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
3 - 0
SLU
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARN
11%
22%
67%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRB
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
NAU
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
NAU
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
RFC
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 1
RIV
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |