América RN vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 2
ARN
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
ICA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 3
BOA
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARN
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 1
ARN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
OES
2 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
LUV
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 1
NAU
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 2
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |