América RN vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 0
ARN
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 0
CAM
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 4
ARN
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
MOT
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
RFC
31%
23%
47%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 4
ARN
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
MOT
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
MOT
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |