América RN vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
RIV
0 - 4
ARN
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
ARN
3 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
FER
0 - 0
ARN
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
ARN
1 - 0
SBE
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ARN
0 - 0
TRE
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
TRE
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
RIO
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
FER
2 - 3
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |