Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-0
América RN vs Ji-Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ARN
4 - 1
POT
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARN
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 1
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Ji-Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PIM
1 - 0
PAR
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARI
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARN
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 2
GEN
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |