América RN vs Jacobina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
ARN
32%
25%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 2
ARN
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 3
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 2
ARN
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 2
JEC
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 1
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
JEC
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
JAC
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 4
VIT
6%
14%
80%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |