América RN vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
ARN
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 0
FFL
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 0
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ARN
4 - 0
POR
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
IFC
1 - 0
ATL
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 1
IFC
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 0
IFC
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 0
CEA
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 1
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |