América RN vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 3
GOI
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 1
FLU
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 2
ARN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
SCI
2 - 1
FFL
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 0
SCI
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
SCI
1 - 1
ATM
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
SCI
0 - 2
GRE
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 2
SCI
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |