Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 2-2
América RN vs Imperatriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
IMP
1 - 0
ARN
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
IMP
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 3
ARN
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ARN
4 - 2
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
ARN
17%
25%
59%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Imperatriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
IMP
1 - 0
ARN
34%
26%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
IMP
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
IMP
4 - 0
BEL
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
IMP
4 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
IMP
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |