América RN vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GLO
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 1
AFO
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 1
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FLO
1 - 1
ARN
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 0
CAM
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 2
FLO
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAL
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 0
GUA
35%
28%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAM
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GLO
3 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |