América RN vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ARN
0 - 2
CON
34%
24%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
IMP
0 - 0
ARN
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CON
3 - 3
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 2
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ARN
1 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 3
BEL
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
3 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 4
FOR
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 2
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |