Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-3
América RN vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
ARN
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ABC
4 - 0
ARN
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARN
3 - 3
ABC
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARN
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
ARN
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 1
PAY
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 0
GAM
69%
19%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 1
LUZ
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 2
APA
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |