América RN vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 2
ARN
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ARN
1 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CRB
2 - 1
ARN
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
ARN
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ARN
4 - 0
CRB
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 3
ARN
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |