América RN vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 2
ARN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 2
COR
22%
25%
52%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 0
ARN
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 1
FFL
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 3
ARN
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
FLU
3 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
FFL
0 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2007 |
FLU
1 - 1
FFL
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |