Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-6
América RN vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1990 |
ARN
1 - 0
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1990 |
SAN
3 - 1
ARN
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
ATM
7 - 0
ARN
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1989 |
ARN
0 - 3
ATM
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
ARN
0 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 3
AME
54%
26%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1993 |
AME
2 - 1
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
SCI
0 - 0
FLA
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1992 |
RAC
1 - 0
FLA
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |