América RN vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 0
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ARN
4 - 0
POR
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 1
ARN
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 1
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
CAM
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 4
FFL
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 2
PPE
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
FFL
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |