América RN vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
ARN
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 0
ARN
13%
17%
70%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
3 - 1
POT
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 4
ARN
9%
16%
75%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
CRB
13%
23%
65%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
SOC
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
BOC
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |