América RN vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
66.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
ARN
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 0
ARN
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 1
ARN
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 4
ARN
19%
25%
57%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARN
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 0
ADA
88%
10%
2%
|
79 | 23 | 56 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 0
CON
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 3
BAH
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 2
BAH
21%
26%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |