América RN vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 1
ARN
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 2
PPE
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
49%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 1
ARN
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 1
BRA
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
BAH
0 - 1
FFL
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BAH
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 1
IFC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
BAH
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 0
ABC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |