América RN vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 0
ARN
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 1
FFL
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 3
ARN
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 1
VAS
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ARN
2 - 5
ABC
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
COR
0 - 0
ATM
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CRZ
0 - 3
COR
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
COR
0 - 2
NAU
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |