América RN vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ARN
3 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 2
ARN
60%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
POT
0 - 1
ARN
13%
23%
64%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
2 - 0
FEL
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
CON
1 - 0
NAU
32%
25%
44%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CON
4 - 0
LAG
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
AME
1 - 1
CON
8%
16%
76%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADC
1 - 2
CON
7%
15%
79%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CSA
2 - 1
CON
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |